FPL Game Week 1 Matches Probabilities (2024 - 2025)

Premier league is back. Kicking things off on Friday with Manchester United vs Fulham at Old Trafford. We got 6 matches on Saturday, 2 matches on Sunday and 1 late match on Tuesday.

Game Week 1 Matches and Winning Probabilities

Friday Early Kick-Off

MUN (62%) Vs FUL (18%)

Saturday Matches

IPS (11%) Vs LIV (74%)

NOT (40%) Vs BOU (34%)

ARS (83%) Vs WOL (6%)

NEW (74%) Vs SOU (13%)

EVE (37%) Vs BHA (37%)

WHU (40%) Vs AVL (36%)

Sunday Matches 

BRE (40%) Vs CRP (35%)

CHE (24%) Vs MCI (54%)

Tuesday Late Kick-Off

LEI (18%) Vs TOT (61%)

Arsenal with highest chance of winning this round against Wolves at their home ground with 83%. Liverpool has the second highest chance (74%) of winning against newly promoted Ipswich club. Newcastle has also (74%) chance against Southampton side.

Game Week 1 Matches Team’s Probabilities of scoring over 2 goals

ARS(52%)

LIV(48%)

NEW(48%)

MCI(47%)

MUN(38%)

TOT(38%)

WHU(24%)

AVL(22%)

NOT(21%)

BRE(20%)

BHA(19%)

EVE(18%)

BOU(17%)

CRP(17%)

CHE(17%)

LEI(13%)

FUL(11%)

IPS(9%)

SOU(9%)

WOL(4%)

 

Game week 1 Team chances of keeping a clean sheet

ARS(56%)

LIV(42%)

NEW(40%)

MUN(34%)

TOT(34%)

MCI(29%)

BRE(29%)

NOT(27%)

EVE(26%)

BHA(26%)

CRP(25%)

BOU(24%)

WHU(23%)

AVL(22%)

CHE(15%)

LEI(13%)

FUL(13%)

SOU(9%)

IPS(8%)

WOL(8%)

Game week 1 Anytime goal scoring chances

Isak(56%)

Salah(51%)

Haaland(50%)

Nunez(44%)

Harvetz(42%)

Jesus(42%)

Solanke(42%)

Son(42%)

Zirkzee(40%)

Jota(40%)

Barnes(39%)

Gakpo(38%)

Gordon(38%)

Saka(37%)

Trossard(36%)

Martinelli(36%)

Awoniyi(36%)

Watkins(36%)

Rashford(35%)

Diaz(34%)

Garnacho(33%)

Fernandez(33%)

Wood(33%)

Odegaard(33%)

Toney(33%)

Foden(33%)

Bowen(32%)

Fulkrug(32%)

Mateta(32%)

Palmer(32%)

Johnson(31%)

Ferguson(30%)

Pedro(30%)

DCL(29%)

Dennis(29%)

Eze(29%)

Mbeumo(29%)

Nkunku(29%)

Werner(29%)

Sancho(28%)

Muniz(27%)

Almiron(27%)

Jackson(27%)

Vardy(27%)

Wissa(25%)

Semenyo(24%)

Kluviet(23%)

*Notes* Anytime goal scoring chances are valid if only players start the game. Tis doesn't predict the line-ups.

My tip for now is don’t risk too much on the first few game weeks as we have little knowledge for this year. It would be best to pick players who are nailed to start the games. The players who have already proven their worth in last season.

Thanks for reading. Follow me for more like this every weeks.